12.16-12.20 饲料级磷酸氢钙产品行情周报
12.16-12.20 饲料级磷酸氢钙产品行情周报
原材料端：
本周原材料价格平稳没有变动。
需求方面：
客户年前补货需求开始逐渐回落，少数未备货的刚需采购数量有限，需求方面支撑不足。另外由于当前价格处于高位，采购都非常谨慎。
供应及开工率方面：
磷酸氢钙：磷酸氢钙开工率平稳，产量、开工率较上周有微幅提高。
后市预测：
磷酸氢钙：本周氢钙价格持稳无变化，但少数贸易商出现降价抛货。预计后期磷酸氢钙将会处于供需博弈局面，但价格难获利好支撑，主要因为业内担忧硫酸中长期价格有回落可能。另外年前补货、备货需求逐渐回落，需求方面也将无利好支撑。
磷酸一二钙：本周一二钙价格平稳，目前一二钙开工率较上周有所提升，但市场反应货源紧张，主要原因为前期有工厂停产及部分工厂停报主要交付前期订单。下游采购谨慎，刚需补货为主，多数仍在执行、消化前期订单。预计后期一二钙钙将会处于供需博弈局面，磷酸氢钙后期有走弱趋势，中长期来看，一二钙价格不排除会有下滑的可能。
磷酸二氢钙：二氢钙价格稳定没有变动，目前处于传统需求淡季，下游需求较少，但前期暂时受供应端开工偏低影响，磷酸二氢钙价格价格一直处于高位。中长期来看，目前磷酸二氢钙市场价格较高，加上磷酸氢钙市场需求端短期难有回暖预期，磷酸二氢钙市场行情不排除会有回落的可能。
Weekly market summary of Feed grade phosphate products (DCP MCP MDCP) 2024.12. 16-2024.12.20
Raw materials:
The price of raw materials (Phosphate rock and sulfuric acid) keep stable this week.
On the demand side:
There’s few to shore up the demand. Due to the procurement of customers began to gradually fall, the demand for a few number of customer who haven’t replenished is small and they purchase cautiously. And coupled with the current high price.
Supply and operating rate:
The operating rate and outputs had rose this week.
Forecast:
DCP: The price of DCP for factories keep stable this week but some traders had reduced the price to promotion. Expected that it will be in the supply and demand game situation next week. There’s no support for DCP price due to the decline of sulfuric acid in long-term and weak demand.
MDCP: The price of MDCP was stable. The operating rate has increased but the supply is still tight, mainly because the factory has stopped production in the early stage and some factories had suspended quoting focus pending orders. The procurement of customers is cautious. Expected that it will be in the supply and demand game situation in later period, the price of MDCP might get weak in future because of the weak market of DCP and demand.
MCP: The price of MCP has no change this week. It’s in the slow season of aquatics and weak demand, but the price of MCP has been at a high level in the early stage, due to the low level of supply.
In the mid and long term, although the current price of MCP is high, but the demand is hard to pick up in the short term, and the weak demand of DCP and MDCP, it does not rule out the possibility of falling.
